What a Mess to be Happy to Be In
Courtesy: Spiro Morekas, TowsonTigers.com  
Release: 11/12/2012

With the Tigers winning their game against Rhode Island on Saturday, Towson has set itself up to possibly defend their Colonial Athletic Association (CAA) football championship. The Tigers won big, 41-10, against the Rams last week to keep themselves in the race.
There are an immense number of possibilities for who can win the CAA's automatic qualifier for the NCAA playoffs. Right now, you have New Hampshire all alone at 6-1. Then you have Towson, Villanova, Richmond and James Madison tied at 5-2. Old Dominion is also at 6-1, but the Monarchs are not eligible for the title since they are leaving for Conference USA next year.

So what does Towson have to do to punch their ticket to the NCAA playoffs? The Tigers take on New Hampshire this Saturday at noon in Durham, N.H. If the Tigers win, they and New Hampshire are then tied. The Tigers would hold a head to head tiebreaker with the Wildcats but would have to await the outcome of the other league games this weekend: Richmond at William & Mary, Old Dominion at James Madison, and Delaware at Villanova. 

If Towson, Villanova and New Hampshire are tied at 6-2, the Tigers win the tiebreaker. If Towson, Richmond, and New Hampshire are tied, then it really gets weird. Since Towson and Richmond did not  play this year, there is no head-to-head tiebreaker.

The next tiebreaker is the Sagarin ratings ELO-Chess number.  What is that?  Good question. Jeff Sagarin has been providing two ratings to the USA Today for years in every sport: predictor and ELO-Chess. The predictor rating takes into account margin of victory along with strength of schedule. The ELO-Chess does not take into account margin of victory.

Right now, New Hampshire has the highest rating at 58.44, Richmond is second at 56.97 and the Tigers are third at 55.00. If the Tigers win, their rating goes up while New Hampshire's goes down. If it comes down to this tiebreaker, Tiger fans will also have to root for teams like LSU and Kent State to win, while we root against New Hampshire's and Richmond's other opponents lose. It's crazy, but that's what it could come down to.

All you can say about this Towson football team is they have really shown themselves to be quite the TEAM. The Tigers' victory over Rhode Island was dominant if you take out the Rams' opening drive. It was great to see all the seniors get involved. A couple to point out here, first Dominque Booker has a shot to be the CAA player of the week after his performance. Booker had the second-longest run in school history when he took the first play from scrimmage in the second half 83 yards for a touchdown. Dominque ended up rushing for 181 yards.

Then there was linebacker Brian Boateng.  Brian has seen his playing time diminish over the years, but yesterday filling in for the injured Monte Gaddis, he led the team in tackles with 11.

It was great to see these guys finish their Unitas Stadium careers on a high note.

With the win, the Tigers clinched back-to-back winning seasons for the first time since the 1999-2000. Congrats to Coach Rob Ambrose and all his players on giving us another exciting season. If the Tigers win this week at New Hampshire, they will at worst share the CAA title. They then may have to rely on the NCAA selection committee to decide if they are worthy of an at-large bid. I am sure they are.

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